whenmodel: frontier model release intelligence, home
Sat 3 Oct · 15:30Z

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When will Anthropic ship?

What Polymarket prices for its next release.

Next departure · within 7 days

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+)

Read off the market's curve between its 7 Oct and 15 Oct stops.

  1. NowSat 3 Oct
  2. 26%72 hoursTue 6 Oct
  3. 37%Wed 7 Octmarket stop
  4. 7 daysSat 10 Oct
  5. 82%Thu 15 Octmarket stop
  6. 95%Sat 31 Octmarket stop
  7. 99%Thu 31 Decmarket stop

Chance the service has departed by each stop. Polymarket, Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on…?, $649 traded in 24h. LIVE · POLYMARKET

Service frequency

Arrivals · 12 months
Last arrival
Claude Sonnet 5.5Mon 28 Sep 18:04Z
Arrivals · 30 days
2last one 4d ago
Heat
62markets 42 + recency 20; a burstiness prior, not a forecast

Station announcements

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